South Africans went to the polls on November 1 to elect local representatives amid widespread discontent with corruption, crime, and deteriorating public services, which threaten the African National Congress (ANC)’s longstanding dominance.
Amidst predictions of a further decline in support, recent polls indicate that the ANC, which fell below 50% in municipal elections for the first time in 2021, may drop to below 40% this year. This shift could lead to unstable coalition governments in several cities, blamed for inadequate public services such as water and electricity.
The results of this election are significant as they will influence the political landscape leading into the next national elections scheduled for 2029. They may also impact the internal succession dynamics within the ANC, as President Cyril Ramaphosa nears the end of his term as party leader in 2027.
Ramaphosa acknowledged the party’s shortcomings but expressed hope for regaining public trust. “Municipal failures have contributed to declining public trust and confidence in democratic governance,” he said. “This election is an opportunity to turn this around.”
The race for control of Johannesburg, South Africa’s economic hub, is particularly noteworthy. Democratic Alliance (DA) candidate Helen Zille, who is running a vigorous campaign, is expected to secure the most votes, although she may not obtain a majority. Other key areas to watch include Tshwane, which houses the administrative capital Pretoria, and eThekwini, encompassing Durban, where the influence of former President Jacob Zuma’s uMkhonto weSizwe party is strong.
The DA is favored to maintain control in Cape Town, further complicating the ANC’s electoral prospects. The ANC’s ongoing struggles in local governance have led to coalitions with the DA and other smaller parties after losing its national majority in 2024. Though some voters remain loyal to the ANC because of its historical role in ending apartheid, increasing dissatisfaction with persistent issues such as power outages, water shortages, high unemployment, and concerns over public safety have intensified.
Polls opened at 7 a.m. (0500 GMT) and will close at 9 p.m. (1900 GMT), with results anticipated to be announced by Sunday.
